Q1 2025 Columbus, Ohio Commercial Real Estate Market Report

📍 Columbus, Ohio | 🗓️ Q1 Market Recap & Q2 Outlook

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Columbus CRE Outlook: Strength in Diversity, Momentum in Motion

Despite national headwinds like rising interest rates and cautious lending, Columbus, Ohio’s commercial real estate market continues to thrive—outpacing many of its Midwestern peers. A diverse economy, strategic location, and resilient tenant demand are fueling growth across key sectors.

 

“We’re seeing real momentum return to Columbus’s urban retail corridors, and the energy in redevelopment zones like Jaeger Square is contagious.”

— William Roth, CEO & Founder, Roth Real Estate Group

 
 

 
 

Market Snapshot – Q1 2025

  • Total Inventory: 322 million SF

  • Vacancy Rate: 8.6%

  • YTD Net Absorption: 2.2 million SF

  • Under Construction: 2.4 million SF

  • Avg. Asking Rent: $5.85/SF

 
 

🔥 Hot Trends to Watch

  • 📡 Data Center Expansion: New Albany and Hilliard are ground zero for infrastructure growth, fueled by investments from Meta, AWS, Microsoft, and Google.

  • 🏭 Industrial Boom: Low vacancy, strong leasing along I-70/I-71, and a healthy pipeline reflect regional dominance.

  • 🌆 Urban Retail Resurgence: Neighborhood corridors like Short North and German Village are outperforming with <4% vacancy.

  • 🌱 Land Rush: Buyers are targeting utility-ready sites near tech corridors and infrastructure zones like Hilltop and Innovation Campus.


 

🛍️ Retail Market: Resilient + Transforming

  • Vacancy Rate: 3.58%

  • Net Absorption: 97,200 SF (36% YoY growth)

  • Construction: 351K SF

  • Top Assets: Mixed-use & storefront retail

  • Trend: Consumer spending is softening, but suburban service retail is still strong.

Forecast: Expect modest rent growth and continued demand in suburban nodes like Dublin, Hilliard, and New Albany.


 

Office Market: Polarized + Adapting

  • Vacancy Rate: 23.9%

  • Net Absorption: -110,000 SF

  • Leasing Activity: 364,000 SF (+17% YoY)

  • Avg Rent: $21.53/SF | Class A: $23.21/SF

Top Performers: Class A suburban offices with great light, layouts, and amenity sets.

Forecast: Look for more adaptive reuse and price compression in outdated Class B/C stock.

 

“The assets seeing real traction are those with smart layouts and amenities that make employees want to come in.”

— Scott Steidel, Partner, SVP, Roth Real Estate Group

 

 

🌎 Land Market: Competitive + Accelerating

  • Total Sales Volume: $253M

  • Top Sale: $51.9M at 9850 Innovation Campus Way

  • Cap Rates: 5.5%–6.5%

  • Buyer Mix: Developers, end-users, and institutional funds

Forecast: As entitlement timelines improve and infrastructure spending continues, expect Q3-Q4 land activity to surge.

 

“We’re seeing accelerated competition in zones like New Albany and Hilltop.”

— Andy Patton, Partner/CBO, Roth Real Estate Group

 

 

🏗️ Industrial Market: Tightening + Scaling

  • Vacancy Rate: 8.42% (first decline in 3 years)

  • Net Absorption: 3.6 million SF

  • Avg Rent: $6.41/SF (Net)

  • Under Construction: 4.2 million SF (mostly build-to-suit)

Hot Product: Mid-size bulk distribution (50K–300K SF)

Forecast: Pre-leasing strength will continue, with growing investment in cold storage and flex industrial.

 

“Users want flexibility, proximity to labor, and buildings they can grow into.”

— Jennifer Rooney, Partner, SVP, Roth Real Estate Group

 

 

Submarket Spotlights

 

🎨 Short North Arts District

  • Retail Occupancy: >96%

  • Avg Rent: $27.00/SF/YR

  • Opportunities:

    • The Sutton (1,459–11,479 SF modern retail)

    • 491 Park Street (11,731 SF turnkey restaurant)

🧱 German Village

  • Retail Occupancy: >96%

  • Avg Rent: $27.00/SF/YR

  • Key Asset: Jaeger Square (Spring 2025 delivery with 8,250 SF of retail)

🏙️ Hidden Gems

  • Brewery District: Gaining momentum with residential integration

  • Trolley District: East Market success signals opportunity

  • Hilltop: 15-year, 100% tax abatements are sparking developer interest


 

📈 Economic Indicators – Q1 2025

  • Job Growth: +4,500 jobs (+0.4%)

  • Population: 1.746 million (+1.1%)

  • GDP Growth: 2.59% YoY

Major Announcements:

  • Anduril Industries: 5M SF advanced mfg. near Rickenbacker

  • AWS: $10B data center expansion

  • Intel: $20B semiconductor facility

  • Coca-Cola Consolidated: $90M distribution investment


 

💼 Quarter in Review

  • CRE Investment: Down 10–12% YoY

  • Leasing Velocity: Strongest in industrial and retail

  • Cap Rates: 6.5–7.5% for core-plus assets

  • Development: 2.4M SF under construction—mostly industrial


 

🔮 Second Half 2025 Forecast

  • Retail: Lifestyle centers, suburban service retail will lead

  • Office: Class A or conversion—no middle ground

  • Industrial: Pre-leased projects will push rents upward

  • Land: Data center and logistics zones remain top targets


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